By Larry Mowry, CBS 11 Weather


FORT WORTH (CBSDFW.COM) – Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for Brownsville.  Yes, Brownsville.  1/2 “ of snow will be possible in the Valley Thursday.  Houston has a Winter Storm Watch in effect as they could see 1” to 3” of sleet/snow accumulation Thursday afternoon and evening.

We will likely have parts of North Texas go under a Winter Weather Advisory especially those areas to the south and east of Dallas.  Snow showers are expected to arrive late Thursday evening and continue through Friday morning.

We’re expecting around 1” to 2” of snow across the metroplex with the higher snow totals on the south and east side of Dallas.  From Hillsboro to Corsicana to Palestine to Athens to Canton 2” to 4” of snow will be possible.  Again this is coming tomorrow night into Friday morning.

And by the way, New Orleans is under a Winter Weather Advisory for the possibility of freezing rain.  So even if the Super Bowl was in a ‘warmer city’ like New Orleans or Houston they would still have to deal with bad weather.

But We’re still in for a tough night, as a Hard Freeze Warning and a Wind Chill Advisory continue until Noon Thursday.  Temperatures tonight will drop to 10 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  Wind chills will be in the -10 to +5 range overnight and tomorrow morning.  Highs on Thursday will once again be in the low 20s.


As mentioned, over the past few days our next weather maker looks like it will be bringing some more accumulating snow to parts of North Texas Thursday night into Friday morning.  The track of this upper level low will be a little farther south than Tuesday’s storm, and it won’t have as much cold air behind it.

But we will see snow showers spread up from the south and west on Thursday night.  Snow will actually be falling in San Antonio and Austin before it starts falling here in Dallas/Fort Worth.  The latest guidance puts the heaviest swatch of snow across our southeastern counties.

We are generally looking at 1” to 2” of snow in the metro area Friday morning.  There will be 3” to 4” snow totals for areas like Corsicana, Palestine, Athens, Tyler.  The moisture content of this snow will be rather low as temperatures will be in the teens while it is snowing.  This can sometimes make snowfall totals problematic.

Lower moisture content snow can accumulate more than what the models show.  This is common in Alberta Clipper type systems that race across the northern Plains and Great Lakes.  They can produce a quick area of 3” to 6” of snow with much moisture to work with.  So we will be keeping a close eye on snowfall estimates for Friday.


The snow should be leaving North Texas by the midday hours on Friday and we may see a few breaks in the clouds.  Temperatures may push into the low 30s on Friday if we see some sunshine.


Finally warming above freezing although if there is snow on the ground that will certainly depress our warm up.  Highs will probably be around 40 degrees with low clouds as moisture from the snow melt forms a deck of clouds and possibly some fog.


Temperatures again will be determined by the amount of snow on the ground.  If we get enough melting on Saturday we could push the 50 degree mark Sunday afternoon.  Some of the models are trying to push a surge of cold air into the area late Sunday.  Some are even trying to squeeze out a little light rain maybe light snow along the Red River Sunday night.


The latest European forecast model which did a great job of forecasting our Tuesday winter storm is advertising a huge winter storm for us on Wednesday with significant accumulation.  This has shown hints of this the past few model runs.  If the model continues to show this the next few days, be prepared for another big storm Wednesday of next week.  The GFS model does not show this at all, so confidence is somewhat meager.