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Feeling More Like May

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Starting Work Week Foggy

…thanks to four days of rain that amounted to at least an inch for most North Texans and over four inches for some.  A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 10:00 AM for Johnson and Ellis Counties and southward toward Waco.  The visibilities in these areas down to a quarter mile in spots.  Spot fog possible across all of North Texas.

The fog and morning clouds will burn off through the morning hours making way for sunshine, breezy southwest winds and low 80s today.  Our target 81 degrees is the average high temperature for a typical May 5th.  And most of the work week will log the kind of warmth typical of latter April or early May.

Warm, Humid Pattern Sets Up

The main storm track this week will stay to our north.  While storm systems come onshore in the Pacific Northwest and along the West Coast, they will drive into Canada.  This will mean a relatively quiet pattern for North Texas in the big picture.  However, a large area of high pressure will dominate the eastern part of the country and it will bring a constant onshore flow from the Gulf.  This flow will bring increased humidity and a daily layer of clouds that will typically develop during the overnight hours and somewhat erode through the peak heating of the day.  This would likely mean morning clouds each morning with partly cloudy afternoons.

Rain/Storm Chances:  Unimpressive

With the morning cloud deck, spot showers are possible and isolated storms are possible during the peak heat of the day.  The rain chances look to only be around 20-percent – 30-percent for an given area in North Texas.  If we can favor any part of North Texas, it would be the eastern half.  But, not by much.  And there will be a small chance that storms could become severe with damaging winds.

The Story On Wind

In the near term, we can call it breezy as the predominantly southerly winds gust 20-25 mph Monday through Thursday.  However, the winds could really pick up Friday through next Tuesday according to some of the computer model guidance.  The southerly flow will continue, but gusts could reach 30-40 mph as a series of strong storm systems develop in Colorado and push well north of us.

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