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Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas. Some areas see a Freeze!

By Chief Meteorologist Larry Mowry
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(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Larry Mowry
Larry joined the CBS 11 Storm Team in January 2008 from CBS affil...
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The cold front continues its trek thru North Texas this afternoon.  There have been a few showers along the front as expected.  The rain will continue to shift east as the front moves to the east this evening.  Temperatures are dropping behind the front into the 60s and 50s.  Winds also have picked up this afternoon, gusting to 35 mph out of the northwest.  To follow the location of the front check out my Front Timeline Blog.

COLD FOR FRIDAY…

Overnight temperatures will continue to drop into the 40s with gusty north winds all night long.

Here is where we will start tomorrow morning at 7am.  Bundle Up!

metro overnight lows Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

Friday will feature a mix of sun and clouds.  Winds will still be gusty out of the north at 15 to 30 mph.  So it will feel rather cold all day.

Here is the temperature expected at 4pm on Friday.

metro tomorrow highs manuel Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

FRIDAY NIGHT will be the coldest night.  Some areas will see a freeze by early Saturday morning.

Here are the temperatures expected at 7am Saturday.  If you live north and west of the Metroplex in the traditional cold spots, cover up any plants you want to save.

metro tomorrow nights lows manuel Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

WEEKEND FORECAST…

It will be a crisp Fall Weekend in North Texas.  Winds will decrease this weekend and with lots of sunshine it will feel just like a nice fall weekend.  Long sleeves and jackets this weekend.  But if you are up early in the morning you will definitely need the coats.

dallasfortworthtemplapse1 Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

FORECAST:
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy, lingering rain mainly east and southeast of Dallas.  Cold and windy.  Low of 48.  N 15-30 mph

TOMORROW:  Mix of sun and clouds.  Cold and windy.  High of 58.  N 15-30 mph

TOMORROW NIGHT:  Clearing skies, cold.  Low of 39, colder in rural areas.  N 5-10 mph

SATURDAY:  Sunny and chilly.  High of 62.  N 5-15 mph

SATURDAY NIGHT:  Clear and cold.  Low of 41 at DFW, but most locations will be in the mid to upper 30s.  Light winds.

SUNDAY:  Mostly sunny and chilly.  High of 67.  NE 5-10 mph

SUNDAY NIGHT:  Clear and cold.  Low of 43.  Light winds.

MONDAY:  Sunny, a little warmer.  High of 70.  SE 5-10 mph

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION…

Read on if you would like to find out about what some are calling “Frankenstorm”, “Perfect Storm 2″ or “Storm of Our Lifetime”.  Hurricane Sandy is now a Category 2 Hurricane over the Bahamas with winds at 105 mph.  Tropical storm force winds are affecting the east coast of Florida and even a few hours of hurricane force winds will be possible as Sandy drifts toward the NW the next 12 to 24 hours.

Sandy will then move back toward the NE staying off the coast of the Carolinas before being whipped back toward the Northeast by a strong upper level trough.  Here is the current information and track of Sandy from the Hurricane Center.

tropical tracker scene master1 Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

tropical tracker scene master11 Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

WHERE WILL SANDY MAKE LANDFALL...

Sandy is expected to be still close to a Category 1 Hurricane Status when it makes landfall along the East Coast early next.  There is still uncertainty as to where landfall will be located.  That is to be expected this far out in the future.  The latest GFS and European forecast models show differing positions.

Here is the GFS landfall.  Over Long Island on Tuesday at 2pm.

larry scratch Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

Here is the European Landfall.  Over the Delmarva Peninsula on Monday at 7pm.

larry scratch1 Update on Crisp Fall Weather for North Texas.  Some areas see a Freeze!

Obviously, where this makes landfall will determine the extent of high winds, rainfall and storm surge.

The interaction this hurricane will have with the strong upper level trough will create a situation where the pressure of this storm could rapidly drop.  The pressure drop would help sustain strong winds for a long time period and also expand the wind field. This is truly a remarkable meteorological event.  It is not very often you have such a strong upper level trough interact this way with a hurricane over a major populated area.  The outcome of what this storm does is still uncertain.  But widespread power outages, flooding from rainfall, and flooding from storm surge look likely.  Power outages could be so extensive that it takes days to restore.  The implications with that could be profound given the Election just 7 days from projected landfall.  For areas in upstate New York, Pennsylvania and Ohio this could be a major snow event.

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