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Colder Tonight, Cold Rain and Severe Weather This Week for North Texas

By Chief Meteorologist Larry Mowry
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Larry Mowry
Larry joined the CBS 11 Storm Team in January 2008 from CBS affil...
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A little bit of everything for us this week as we go from warm temperatures today to a cold rain by midweek and severe storms early Thursday morning.

TODAY

High temperatures warmed into the upper 70s ahead of a cold front around the 2pm.  But the cold front has passed thru Dallas/Fort Worth as of 3pm.

Storms are ongoing in East Texas, but we will not see any rain or storms in the DFW area for the rest of today or tonight.

Here’s a look at temperatures at 2pm.  Note behind the front temps falling into the 60s.

NTX Temp Plot

THIS EVENING – turning chilly behind the front with temps dropping this afternoon into the evening.

Evening Forecast

TONIGHT  – Clear skies and cold temperatures.  Grab the coats as you head out the door.  Here are the temperatures we will wake up to tomorrow morning.

NTX Overnight Lows

TOMORROW – We will see mostly sunny skies on Tuesday, but it will be cooler.

NTX Tomorrows Highs

COLD RAIN ON WEDNESDAY – MAYBE SOME WINTRY MIX TOO…

Starting early Wednesday morning we will see increasing clouds and some rain spread into the area from the south.  Temperatures will be cold in the 30s and 40s Wednesday morning.  There is the chance that some of the precip could mix with sleet and even snow flakes during the morning hours on Wednesday.  This is most likely to happen up along the Red River, but we will have to watch for that mix possibility in the metroplex depending on our temperatures.  Even where this wintry mix is occurring surface temperatures will be above freezing.  This should minimize any major travel problems Wednesday morning.  The one thing you can not predict is how drivers will react to sleet and snow coming down during the commute.

The whole day on Wednesday will just be nasty with temperatures staying in the 30s and 40s with a cold rain off and on all day.  It will be windy too, adding to the misery.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

A line of thunderstorms will develop to our west Wednesday night and sweep thru North Texas before the sun comes up Thursday morning.  This line has a strong possibility of being severe.  Temperatures will still be cold though at the surface with readings in the 40s, but there will be a tremendous amount of energy in the upper levels of the atmosphere that storms will be quite intense above this cold layer.  At this point, damaging winds and large hail will be our main concern.  My preliminary estimate on timing of this line for DFW will be between 2am and 7am Thursday morning.  The other concern will be the location of a warm front that will be moving into North TExas from the south.  Along this warm front; however far north it gets, there will be a low tornado threat.  Right now this warm front is expected to stall out near Waco over to Palestine.

TIMELINE FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNING

WED 8am

NTX FutureCast 12kmA

WED 11am

NTX FutureCast 12kmA1

WED 4pm

NTX FutureCast 12kmA2

THU 3am

NTX FutureCast 12kmA3

THU 8am

NTX FutureCast 12kmA4

REST OF THE WEEK…

From Thursday afternoon thru the weekend we are looking at dry weather with temperatures primarily in the 60s.