Filed underStorm Team Blog
Clouds are in the skies thanks to a small and weak upper level disturbance moving through Texas. It’s being driven by the powerful storm system over California. The net effect for us today is mostly cloudy skies with spotty showers and temps holding in the 50s and 60s. Can’t rule out stray showers overnight and Saturday morning, but mainly dry hours until the main storm system drives to our north.
Our FutureSky Forecast handles the event pretty well as detailed with the snapshots below. We expect about 20 percent coverage with showers during the afternoon and into the early evening with the coverage dropping off to 10 percent by 10 PM and overnight.
By Saturday morning a warm front will lift through North Texas and will again pick up the rain coverage to 20 percent, maybe even 30 percent. However, our best chances will be along and just ahead of the cold front starting for western areas then migrating east.
By the afternoon, showers and embedded storms should fill in along the front and provide better coverage with a wider zone of rain. A slight severe weather threat is possible especially for southwestern areas with marginally severe hail and wind damage is possible. As the storms push east, they will lose any severe potential. The overall impact for most North Texans will be locally heavy rainfall, lightning and gusty winds to 40 mph. Surface winds will be strong out of the south all afternoon.
By 10 PM, the line of storms should press east of the Metroplex and will impact eastern portions of North Texas with gusty winds and heavy rainfall.
Temperatures will cool back into the 40s for northwestern areas with low to mid 50s everywhere else. As the front slows up, post-frontal showers are possible mainly east and south of the Metroplex for the morning hours, but a stray shower is possible for the Metroplex and northeast. By the afternoon, we should be facing mostly sunny skies with gusty northwest winds and cooler readings in the 50s.