Our unbelievably nice weather week will finish on a strong note Friday and Saturday, with high temperatures into the 80s both days. A strong south wind will accompany the warm temps.
The weather pattern changes a bit over the weekend. We’ll begin to see a weak cold front move in from the north on Sunday. This will mean quite a bit more cloud cover and possibly a few sprinkles or drizzle, especially east of the DFW area. Another, stronger cold front gets here on Monday, with only a slim hope for a shower…most of the rain will be well northeast of North Texas. But it will turn a bit cooler Monday and Monday night.
It does appear there’s a better chance for rain by the middle of next week as a more potent upper air disturbance arrives Wednesday. The GFS (“American”) model is quite a bit drier than the European computer model for next week, so we’ll see. The European has been doing slightly better overall in the past few weeks…and we do need the rain!
The latest drought update came out today and shows that even with the healthy rainfall amounts from Saturday afternoon and Saturday night, most of North Texas is still mired in drought. We need a lot of regularally ocurring rainfall events before we can put a bigger dent in the drought. Ironically, the entire state is seeing less areas affected by drought now than one year ago. Last March, most of North Texas will drought-free, but the dry nature to the past several weeks has put us back in the hole for this March. We are running a tiny surplus of rainfall since the beginning of the year, but that’s mainly thanks to a wet January.