Reporting Larry Mowry
Filed underStorm Team Blog
LARGE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK
Tornado watches are out for far Northwest Texas all the way up to near Chicago! All the red outlined boxes on the map below are areas that are under a tornado watch this afternoon.
The storms firing up in the watch box areas are forming along the battle zone of cold and warm air. Take a look at temperatures as of 4pm across parts of Texas and Oklahoma. You can clearly see where the cold air is located.
This cold air will eventually win and send a cold front into North Texas overnight.
STORMS TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
For the rest of this evening we are looking at mainly dry weather across North Texas. I can’t rule out a few spotty showers developing but no big storms expected for the rest of this evening. This changes overnight. The latest timing of the storms puts them in the DFW Metroplex between about 3am and 6am. This could be adjusted an hour either way depending on the speed of the front. Our main concern overnight will be gusty winds and hail. The tornado threat looks to be low, but it is certainly not zero. Like storms we had last week, the cold air will tend to undercut the storms. This lessons the severity of the storms and also would eliminate the tornado threat.
Below is a look at the general timing of the storms.
HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST MODEL
Here is our CBS 11 HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST MODEL of where the front and storms will be located.
3AM - Storms gathering in western sections of North Texas. Some may be severe with large hail and gusty winds.
500 am - Storms moving thru the metroplex. Gusty winds, large hail possible.
8am - Storms moving thru Dallas County and pushing east. Turning colder and windy behind the rain and cold front.
11am- Most storms in East Texas. Chilly temperatures and gusty north winds for DFW.