There’s a slight risk for all of North Texas today.  The product below is put out by the Storm Prediction Center with the yellow polygon highlighting the slight risk.  Now that we are getting a better idea of how the storms will play out today, I placed a red polygon showing where the main track for storms will occur.  Therefore this red area is where there will be a higher probability for severe storms.  That said, I feel even southern parts of the red polygon will be the main threat area.  Quarter-sized hail and 60 mph winds will be the main threats along with dangerous lightning and brief, heavy rain.

Severe Risk Day 1

The timing for the Metroplex will be roughly 10am-3pm.  As the front comes in tonight, there is a possibility for more storms to the northwest during the late afternoon into early evening hours:  thinking 5pm-8pm.  After 8pm, it will be mainly quiet with most activity to the east but an isolated shower or storm is possible.  After this afternoon’s storms, the severe potential drops even through rain chances linger through Friday.

NTX Rain Chances1 NTX Rain Chances11 NTX Rain Chances1111

The frontal boundary will stall over Southeast Texas Friday and as upper level energy continues to channel over North Texas, we’ll keep a chance for showers and storms in the forecast.  But, again we aren’t expecting any severe weather and there will be lots of dry hours Friday.  The coverage only looks to be 30 percent.  Need I say anything about the beautiful Mother’s Day weekend ahead?  Enjoy.