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What A Winter Weekend!

(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Scott Padgett
Scott joined the CBS 11 Storm Team in September 2013 from sunny Mi...
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Metro Low Temps Today Auto Plot

Temps across NTX started this AM in the upper 30s with winds barreling out of the North near 20mph with gusts up to near 40mph. The temperature will be colder this afternoon than how we started the day due to the cold air advection and the North winds continuing.  A look at the daypart forecast for North Texas shows that temps really don’t change this afternoon and will hold steady for the majority of the afternoon/evening period.

Dallas Daily Planner 2013 AM

We saw the heavier rain this morning as expected and now through the remainder of the day we are going to see rain chances around 40% with scattered light rain & Drizzle and even freezing rain to the NW of the majority of NTX.

Future1

Future2

WTE1

A Freezing Rain Advisory remains in effect until 11AM for parts of NTX including Cooke, Palo Pinto and Jack counties. There won’t be freezing rain all day, however, the column of air is cooling through the morning hours and into the afternoon there is a better chance to see ice accumulations mainly on bridges and overpasses. We did see some reports this morning near Bowie,TX of slick bridges and in Wichita Falls there were reports of snow flurries. The ground temperatures this morning have been warm and I think the best threat of the slick conditions will be confined to those elevated surfaces.

Freezing Rain Advisory

The majority of Saturday is going to be blustery and cold but our precip chances really don’t increase. You may have times of drizzel and light rain off and on through the day on Saturday with the probablity of precip being around 40%.  Temps will be slightly warmer but still you will feel more like the low 30s through the afternoon hours.

Future3

WTE2

Then this is where the forecast gets more interesting and more of a concern. There is a strong upper level Low pressure system down near the Baja Peninsula and that will eject East during the weekend and increase our energy output for more precipitation.

Upper Level1

The cold air already in place sticks around  and won’t moderate before this energy and precip rotate through NTX. That being said the Futuresky forecast shows that through the day on Sunday and then into Sunday Night and Monday we are going to see accumulating sleet in North Texas including the metroplex.

Future4 Future5 Future6

Sleet Forecast

The above graphic shows the sleep accumulation forecast. There is the potential to see as much as an inch to an inch and a half of sleet accumulation Sunday and into Monday. There is a Winter Storm Watch in effect for NTX from Sunday AM through Monday AM due to the potenitnal of this wintery precip.

NTX WINTER WATCHUS future 2 WTE Sunday

This is when the above mentioned Low pressure approaches and then moves over NTX and providing the dynamics needed for the wintery precip. The cold air will be in place long enough that the ground temps will be at or near freezing so this means we could see accumulating sleet on the roads during the Monday morning commute. The cold air will stick around into Tuesday AM and right now I think there could be some flurries across NTX during Tuesday morning before the atmosphere finally warms up and our precip chances go down. By the time you have thawed out your Turkey for Thanksgiving, North Texas will be thawing from the Winter Weather and the sunshine returns for Turkey Day.

Extended AM

Stay warm and Stay Safe.

Scott