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Sunny and Warm Today Could Give Way to Storms Tonight.

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(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Scott Padgett
Scott joined the CBS 11 Storm Team in September 2013 from sunny Mi...
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Happy Wednesday!! You might have to check the calendar today if you only step outside to feel the temps. We are well above average in the forecast today. This morning temps cooled into the 50s and lower 60s across NTX. Today South winds will increase to near 15mph-25mph and ample sunshine warms us into the mid 80s.

KTVT_FtWorth_Skycast4D_Afternoon_Early Evening

To put that in perspective, think about what it normally feels like in late April. Our average high for April 22nd should warm to the 78° degree mark. Today our temp will be nearly 10° warmer  in some spots. That is where we normally should warm to around mid May. So, expect May like weather this afternoon. However, later tonight we have the potential of Spring Storms mainly West of the metroplex.  A quick moving shortwave will move to near NTX later today into tonight enhancing the potential for storms. Also, the dryline will set up well west of NTX but there is still a slight risk of severe storms for late this afternoon and evening for far NW NTX.

Severe Risk

Severe Risk1

The CAP will be in place today and strengthen later today so any severe weather west will have a hard time staying together into the overnight hours but there is a slim chance to see a few severe storms closer to NTX in the early evening hours to near midnight. Tomorrow a cold front will pass through NTX and our rain chances and storm chances increase to 30% before dropping Friday. Then this weekend we have a better setup for severe weather across all of NTX.

RAIN CHANCE LINE GRAPH

Saturday into Sunday the dry line will move further east at the same time a cold front will move through NTX. As the next trough digs into the Southern Plains the dry line will make an eastward progression. The forecast models differ on timing of the dry line but we will see our best chance of severe weather on Sunday with the dry line moving further east that day. There is the potential of large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes Sunday.

NTX Rain Chances

Temps through the 7day forecast remain well above average but next week a front pushes through and then we cool below average starting Tuesday and lasting through mid-week next week.

Extended AM

Have a great Wednesday.

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