While it’s been another rather hot afternoon, we are keeping tabs on a cold front up in Oklahoma. There were already a few storms near Wichita Falls as of mid-afternoon.
We are anticipating a line of thunderstorms to fill in along the front in Oklahoma later tonight and sink southward. The best chance of storms will remain with our neighbors to the north, but a few storms are possible after midnight, mainly north of I-20.
The front will slowly sag southward during the day Wednesday. As the atmosphere heats up during the afternoon, we will see widely scattered showers & thunderstorms develop. Much like last week, where they form will be dependent on tiny “mesoscale” boundaries that are hard to pinpoint more than a few hours out.
The cold front will stall out over North Texas for Thursday, keeping our rain chances alive. Some of the storms will produce heavier downpours and frequent lightning.
Even into the Fourth of July, we’ll see a few thunderstorms bubble up during the heat of the afternoon.
Independence Day should not be a wash-out though. Storm chances will decrease toward sundown, leaving most of the fireworks displays around North Texas unaffected.
Rain chances should dry up over the weekend. There are signs that another weak cold front could make it into North Texas early next week, bringing back slight rain chances.
Tropical Storm Arthur formed this morning off the east coast of Florida. It is forecast to become a hurricane as it skirts the East Coast near the Carolinas. It could be a significant hurricane near the Outer Banks of North Carolina on July 4th. The heaviest rains and storm surge should stay off shore, but the winds will be howling there late this week.