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Widespread Rain Still on Track Late Week

by CBS11 Meteorlogist Jeff Jamison
NTX Rain Chances111
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Jamison
Jeff is a meteorologist for CBS 11 News. You can watch his fore...
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After Monday’s active weather, with numerous strong storms…today is quite nice!  Lower humidity and not as hot is always a treat for July.  With the drier air in place tonight and a light wind, temperatures are forecast to fall into the 60s across parts of the area.  Should feel great first thing Wednesday morning!

Metro Overnight Lows County zoom

 

We are still watching a pretty potent disturbance up in Montana, which will drop our way by Thursday to start up widespread rain and thunderstorms in North Texas.

KTVT Standard GOTHAM

 

The rain chances will start picking up late Wednesday into Thursday.  Most of the day Wednesday will feature only low rain chances.

NTX Rain Chances11

 

By Wednesday night, rain chances tick up.

NTX Rain Chances1111

 

Thursday will be the wettest day of the week, with 70-80% rain coverage over the northern half of North Texas.

NTX Rain Chances111

 

By Friday, the upper level energy and associated cold front will sweep through, shutting off the rain from west to east during the day.

NTX Rain Chances

 

There is a SLIGHT RISK for severe thunderstorms for North Texas on Thursday.  There will be plenty of lift, with a stalled on cold front on top of us and that upper disturbance.  We’re not thinking that there will be widespread severe weather, but a few storms could produce larger hail, damaging wind and lightning.  The biggest threat in my opinion is flash flooding during the day Thursday into Thursday night.

Severe Risk Day 3

 

Rainfall amounts Wednesday night thru Friday night are quite impressive.  Many areas are forecast to pick up over 1″ of rain, with many areas closer to the Red River seeing over 2 to 3″!  This is why flooding remains a concern, but we need every drop of rain we can get!

NTX Futurecast Precip Accum

 

All the rain on Thursday and Friday will hold high temperatures into the 80s!  After Friday, we’ll dry up and heat back up for the weekend.  There is a slight chance of storms again next week.

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