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Heavier Rainfall Arrives Overnight into Thursday Morning

by CBS11 Meteorologist Jeff Jamison
NTX Futurecast Precip Accum
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Jamison
Jeff is a meteorologist for CBS 11 News. You can watch his fore...
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The shield of rain that moved across North Texas this morning yielded generally less than 1/2″ of rainfall.  We’re forecasting quite a bit more than that in some areas late tonight into Thursday.

NTX Rainfall Totals Plot

 

We’ll get more rain because there’s another upper level disturbance in Oklahoma that will be pivoting our way late tonight.  This will create an environment favorable for more rain, especially north of I-20 into Oklahoma.

KTVT Standard GOTHAM

 

Our local computer model, the RPM, shows how things are likely to play out overnight into Thursday.  At midnight, storm coverage will start to increase our area.

NTX FutureCast

 

More showers & storms fire up by 5am

NTX FutureCast1

 

The heaviest rain will taper off by midday.

NTX FutureCast2

 

Storms should re-intensify in the afternoon, with a little daytime heating, especially east of the DFW area.

NTX FutureCast3

 

Here’s the hour-by-hour forecast for Thursday in the Metroplex.  Generally the higher rain chances will be during the morning hours.

7DAY TREND JEFF

 

As mentioned, the heaviest rainfall is expected to be in our northern counties, closest to the Red River.  This is where our concern for flash flooding will be tomorrow morning.  Some localized areas could see 3 to 6″ of rain near Sherman to Bonham to Paris.

NTX Futurecast Precip Accum

 

The rain should end altogether by Thursday evening, leaving us with a dry forecast for the rest of the 7day outlook.  Cooler highs in the 80s for both Thursday & Friday before it heats back up again over the weekend and next week.

Extended PM