By Jeff Ray

Quick math question: what is the average high so far this September?

Well we’ve been consistent. I can’t remember the last time we had the exact same daytime high at DFW for five days in a row but 97° has been the favorite number ever since Sept. 1st and Labor Day.


Noticed that this weekend offers something different. A cold front arrives tomorrow mid-day and we get rain chances and cooler temperatures. We can see the lower numbers in the central plains behind a cold front:

TX Temp Plot w Contour

Before we get to that know that the heat is all over north Texas but there is a very slight chance of afternoon storms:

NTX Todays HighsNTX Rain Chances1

FurtureSky Forecast shows afternoon rain around as we start the weekend:

Sat 2pSat 6p

There could be a little light rain around Sunday morning, then some isolated storms south of the Metroplex by Sunday afternoon:

Sunday 8am

Not a drop of rain yet this month at the DFW airport but chances are good that’ll change:

NTX Rain Chances11 NTX Rain Chances111

We jump right back to the heat after this weekend. If you’ve been waiting for the “feel” of Fall to show finally looks like that will happen at the end of next week. We could end up with highs in the 70’s by next weekend. On Thursday we’ll have storm chances and highs in the 80’s:

TX SatRad Master1

But before it arrives we are right back to upper 90’s for highs. On Wednesday some of the long-range forecast models show a high of 100° with a strong southwest wind. That can happen just before a strong front arrives. It’ll just set us up for an ever more dramatic entrance for Fall:

Extended AM CSV