LUBBOCK (AP) – Forecasters are no longer saying that Texas will have a wetter and cooler winter.

That’s what weather officials said in July. But since then El Nino has weakened from stronger than usual to neutral.

Weather officials now say Texas has an equal chance of rainfall above normal, near normal or below normal.

This year the state rebounded somewhat from the 2011 historic drought. Texas got an average of 22.8 inches of rain through September. That’s about 1.3 inches above the 21.5-inch average for the nine-month span.

Last month, though, rains across the state were scant. October, usually the state’s third-wettest month, could turn out to be the driest since 1952.

El Nino’s counterpart, La Nina, brought Texas its driest-ever year in 2011. Texas agriculture lost a record $7.6 billion.

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