About time I got back to my winning ways. Last week, I managed to go 3-2 and keep my record over .500. I am now 26-24 in my JB Locks for the season. Last week’s losses came at the hands of both New York (New Jersey) teams. The Jets managed to somehow beat the Steelers, despite everybody and their mother picking against them. The Giants were tied with the Seahawks heading to the fourth quarter before the Seahawks scored 21 unanswered points. It’s been a season to forget for the teams that make MetLife Stadium their home. Let’s try and improve this week and make sure that record stays well above .500. Here’s my NFL Week 11 JB Locks against the spread.
1. Texans (4-5) @ Browns (6-3) (-3.5)
The Houston Texans have finally made a switch at quarterback. At 4-5, they have decided to move on from the Ryan Fitzpatrick experiment and see what they have with 26-year-old Ryan Mallett. The former Patriots backup will take the reigns in Houston in his first career start. It’s not going to play well against a Browns team that is fighting for a playoff spot right now. Mallett’s going to need some time to develop. He’s not going to light it up in his debut, especially in frigid temperatures in Cleveland. Expect a Browns win by at least a touchdown as Brian Hoyer and company hold on to the top spot in the AFC North.
2. Broncos (7-2) @ Rams (3-6) (+9.5)
As long as the opposing team isn’t the Patriots or the Seahawks, the Broncos will likely blow their doors off. It’s been another dominant season from Peyton Manning as he tries to make it to another Super Bowl. Denver is coming off a blowout win over the Raiders. While the Rams have been somewhat competitive, they won’t compete Sunday. Shaun Hill will take over for rookie Austin Davis at QB, but that won’t make much of a difference. With an improved defense and an unstoppable offense, the Broncos should win by double digits in St. Louis.
3. Bengals (5-3-1) @ Saints (4-5) (-7.5)
Andy Dalton has been extremely inconsistent. He’s coming off one of the worst games in NFL history for a quarterback. The Bengals have been shaky since their 2-0 start. With all that being said, the Saints haven’t done anything that warrants them being 7.5-point favorites Sunday. They’re 4-5, coming off a loss to the struggling 49ers. They have also been wildly inconsistent. Luckily for them, they are in the worst division in the NFL right now. This should be an awesome battle between two teams that really need a win. The Saints will prevail in front of the New Orleans faithful, but not by more than a touchdown.
4. Raiders (0-9) @ Chargers (5-4) (-10.5)
The Raiders have had a season to forget. Let’s be honest, they have had a DECADE to forget. Despite the win-less start though, they have competed in some of their games. They came closest in their Week 6 battle with the Chargers in Oakland. It took 10 fourth quarter points from the Chargers to squeak out a 31-28 win. San Diego has not won a game since then. The Raiders must have done something to shake up the Chargers, who have been awful on both sides of the football. Derek Carr has only improved since then. The Chargers need a win in the worst of ways, and they will get it Sunday in front of their home crowd, but not by more than 10 points.
5. Steelers (6-4) @ Titans (2-7) (+6.5)
The Steelers are a very, very strange team. They go out and dominate over the Colts and Ravens with Ben Roethlisberger throwing for 12 touchdowns in two games. Then they go out and lose to the previously 1-8 Jets, turning the ball over four times. They also got their doors blown off by the Browns and lost to the abysmal Bucs. Despite the inconsistency, the the season’s Steelers have responded well after a loss. They will get themselves what should be an easy win over Zach Mettenberger and the Titans in a Monday night game. Look for the Steelers to respond to a bad loss to the Jets with a crushing win over the 2-7 Titans.