By Jeff Ray

And so starts the long holiday weekend and 2nd half of 2016. Another hot day in store for us as a steady south wind pushes up the humidity across north Texas:


I believe we’ve all acclimated to heat by now (at least as much as one can) since will be day 21 of above-normal highs. This streak will continue on in the week ahead:

Ten Day Graph

To put this warm stretch of weather into perspective when we average the daily highs at DFW over the 30-day period leading up to the 4th it revels this to be the hottest run-up to the Fourth since 2011 (by average [just above 1980] the hottest summer EVER RECORDED for the Metroplex)


Over the last several days we’ve enjoyed slightly less humidity than last weekend. A surface low will strengthen over the next 24 hours northwest of us on the front range and pull deep Gulf Moisture into our area. So yes, triple-digit feel-like temperatures return in full force for the holiday weekend:

Surface Winds Wind Particles DewPoint Surface Winds Wind Particles DewPoint2 Skycam_3

There are storm chances this weekend. Today they are very small but do exist for our western counties:


A weak cold front should swing thru north Texas Sunday night into Monday morning. This will produce the best rain chance for the next 10 days:

TomoNite MonAM

Right now we’ll keep the chances of much-needed rain modest. The best window of opportunity for DFW opens overnight Sunday into Monday morning:

Extended2 Extended3

After that the rain chances look rather grim as a high pressure ridge builds back overhead. Above normal temperatures are in store for most the United States for the first 10 days of July. Rain chances look great for the Ohio Valley but rather dismal for most of Texas:

Monthly Outlook US Futurecast CBS Total Rain

Sorry to bury the lead but here is your weekend forecast:

July 4th Weekend Forecast Full AM

And you forecast for the firework shows Monday night. The storms will be well off to our east by then:

July 4 Night_PM

We are forecasting the first 100° day of the season on Tuesday (and another on Wednesday). Tomorrow will mark the 300th day at DFW without one.

INT - Extended AM CSV