A Near Average October, But Dry
October 2012 is in the books and was fairly tame compared to some months before. Our average temperature worked out to be pretty close to average. The average temp in 2012 was 67°. The 30-year average temp (’81-’10) for October is 67.5°.
Here are some other stats for October 2012:
It was certainly a dry month overall with the majority of the rainfall coming during the weekend of October 13 & 14. We are now about 1 1/2″ inches of rain below average for the year at DFW.
November outlooks are out via the Climate Prediction Center. There is a slow transition to a weak El Nino, but signs are increasing that we may not see an El Nino at all…just ENSO neutral conditions. There are other areas to look for what may be coming for North Texas during this next month. The Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation are two key things to look to. When these are in negative phases, we tend to see colder air spill farther south into the United States. It’s difficult, however, to forecast what phases you’ll find the AO and NAO in until about 2 weeks out.
Nevertheless, here is what the CPC is thinking for the month of November across the U.S.
This doesn’t mean we’ll not see any days below normal temperature-wise or above normal precipitation-wise. But generally the thinking is for a slightly warmer, slightly drier November for North Texas.