Sunday has been a warm & breezy day. Once again North Texans found themselves in short-sleeves as holiday shopping and decorating are underway. South winds will help drag some lower clouds and higher humidity into North Texas by Monday morning. At the same time, a cold front will be diving south and arriving in the Metroplex during midday. This front will touch off a few showers & storms, but the chance isn’t great and if rain is seen, it won’t last very long or be very heavy. Best chance of rain will be well east of the I35/I35E corridor for Monday afternoon & evening.
There will be better instability for stronger storms in far East/Southeast Texas and Louisiana Monday afternoon & evening. The Storm Prediction Center has placed this region under a SLIGHT RISK for severe storms. It doesn’t look like a huge outbreak of severe weather, but a few storms could produce large hail there. Only our far southeastern counties will be included in the SLIGHT RISK.
Behind the cold front Monday evening, temperatures will get chilly again. In fact, highs will only get into the 50s on Tuesday and Tuesday night many locations will see freezing temperatures. But the cold won’t last very long. As the jet stream once again retreats to the northern U.S. and our surface winds switch back to out of the south, we will warm back up above average by the end of the week. And it looks dry as well…we may have a brief shower possible on Thursday, but the chances are really weak.
If we look beyond the 7 day forecast to next week (December 3-9), we still find above average temperatures and below average precipitation. So chances are looking good that for the next two weeks, you will be wearing your heavy coats and gloves just a few times and short-sleeves will be more prevalent.
A lot of you are asking ‘when is it REALLY going to get cold?’ Temperatures across western Canada and Alaska have been running well below average for most of November. It’s still very cold there now with readings well below zero in some areas. However an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska is prevent that bitter cold to spill southward toward Texas. We need a high pressure area to develop in this region to dislodge this Arctic cold…and that will happen, but not until mid-December.