This past weekend brought a variety of weather including a chilly Saturday with temperatures holding in the low 50s.  It made for a chilly soccer practice for kids and parents.  It also gave us our first bout of severe weather with 60 mph winds and reports of damage to trees and some roof tops.  A sunny Sunday afternoon followed with temps near 70.

Satellite/Radar Regional

On this Monday, we are stuck in the clouds again with spotty sprinkles and light rain.  A pair of fronts are stalled overhead and upper level energy is moving in on top of the boundaries to trigger elevated precipitation that is largely evaporating before making it to the ground.  Spot light rain will be with us for the first part of the day, then mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low 60s.

NTX Rain ChancesNTX FutureCast Today

Our next chance of rain comes in pretty quickly as another fairly strong upper level system tracks across North Texas.  It will bring very good chances for showers with a few embedded thunderstorms after midnight tonight and through the morning commute Tuesday.  As the center circulation tracks along the Red River, that is where we expect to see the most rainfall around a half inch.

Satellite/Radar Upper Level Low

Temperatures should hold in the 40s, making for a cold rain.  Though the possibility for severe weather is minimal, a few strong storms could develop and produce small hail.  Here’s the set up at 7:00 AM Tuesday.

NTX FutureCast Tuesday AM

By the late morning hours, the rain will ease and come to halt for most areas.  However, spotty showers are still possible into the afternoon.  The cold front to our south will start slowly lifting northward, but stall before it makes it into the Metroplex.  By the afternoon, areas south of the front will become sunny and temperatures will warm to near 70 degrees while the Metroplex will remain near 50 degrees.

NTX FutureCast Tuesday PM


As the system exits North Texas Tuesday evening, there is a small chance for northwestern parts of North Texas could see some light snow/rain mix.  Most of the model guidance puts this near Wichita Falls, so the Metroplex looks to steer clear of any issues for the overnight hours into Wednesday morning.

Tuesday Evening Rain Chances

Once the system exits, we are left with sunny and mild times for Wednesday and Valentine’s Day.  The pattern will remain active with another system moving in on Friday that could bring mixed rain/snow mainly along the Red River.  The weekend dry and mild.