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Cold, Wet Weather for North Texas: Latest Forecast Update

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(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Larry Mowry
Chief Meteorologist Larry Mowry can be seen weekdays on CBS 11 New...
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COLD, WET WEATHER NEXT 48 HOURS

Showers and thunderstorms are rumbling thru North Texas this afternoon.  The heaviest rain has been south and east of Dallas.  No severe weather as of 3pm, but a few stronger storms are possible for areas southeast of a line from Sulphur Springs to Kaufman to Corsicana this evening.  The greater severe threat is in the Hill Country and far south Texas.  Below you can see the area shaded in yellow under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 11pm.

KTVT Street Level

STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM BRINGS US MORE RAIN

We aren’t done with the rain yet.  Below you can see a strong upper level low spinning over Colorado.  This will dive south and track right along the Red River tomorrow and tomorrow night.  This will bring more widespread rain to the area.

TX SatRad Master1

COLD AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA

Cold air is starting to invade the area.  Most areas west of I-35 have been in the colder air all afternoon with temperatures in the 50s.  To the east, temperatures were in the 70s.  But the cold air will win out and everyone will see cold temperatures tonight and tomorrow staying in the 40s and 50s tonight and all day tomorrow.

Here’s a look at temperatures at 3pm today to show you the big spread.

3PM TEMPS

NTX Temp Plot

RAIN CHANCES

Rain coverage will be highest tomorrow and tomorrow night as the upper leve low tracks overhead.  We are not looking at much in the way of severe weather.  In fact, it will be mainly be rain with a few isolated thunderstorms.

Rain Chances Graph

ADDITIONAL RAIN

Most areas are looking at a total of 1″ to 2″ of rain from today’s rain thru Thursday morning.  Some areas may see a little more and some a little less.  Here is a look at what our forecast models are showing for rainfall totals at DFW.  There is quite a variance.

CompuerModelRainfall

RAIN CHANCES

I have put together several maps showing different time frames to give you a sense where I think the greatest coverage of rain will be thru Thursday.

THIS EVENING

NTX Rain Chances

TONIGHT

NTX Rain Chances1

 

TOMORROW – Cold and wet, with temperatures staying in the 40s and 50s all day long. 

NTX Rain Chances11
TOMORROW NIGHT

NTX Rain Chances111

THURSDAY – Most of the rain will exit east during the morning, but it will still be cool with high temperatures in the upper 50s.

NTX Rain Chances11111

7-DAY FORECAST

KTVT 7DAY MASTER

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