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Latest on Storm Timing for Tonight and How Cool It Gets Tomorrow

By Chief Meteorologist Larry Mowry
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(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Larry Mowry
Chief Meteorologist Larry Mowry can be seen weekdays on CBS 11 New...
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LARGE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK

Tornado watches are out for far Northwest Texas all the way up to near Chicago!  All the red outlined boxes on the map below are areas that are under a tornado watch this afternoon.

KTVT Street Level

TEMPERATURE BATTLE

The storms firing up in the watch box areas are forming along the battle zone of cold and warm air.  Take a look at temperatures as of 4pm across parts of Texas and Oklahoma.  You can clearly see where the cold air is located.

N TX wide Temp Plot

This cold air will eventually win and send a cold front into North Texas overnight.

STORMS TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING

For the rest of this evening we are looking at mainly dry weather across North Texas.  I can’t rule out a few spotty showers developing but no big storms expected for the rest of this evening.  This changes overnight.  The latest timing of the storms puts them in the DFW Metroplex between about 3am and 6am.  This could be adjusted an hour either way depending on the speed of the front.  Our main concern overnight will be gusty winds and hail.  The tornado threat looks to be low, but it is certainly not zero.  Like storms we had last week, the cold air will tend to undercut the storms.  This lessons the severity of the storms and also would eliminate the tornado threat.

TIMING

Below is a look at the general timing of the storms.

NTX Rain Chances

NTX Rain Chances1

NTX Rain Chances11

NTX Rain Chances111

NTX Rain Chances1111

HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST MODEL

Here is our CBS 11 HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST MODEL of where the front and storms will be located.

3AM - Storms gathering in western sections of North Texas.  Some may be severe with large hail and gusty winds.

NTX FutureCast 12kmA

500 am - Storms moving thru the metroplex.  Gusty winds, large hail possible.

NTX FutureCast 12kmA1

8am - Storms moving thru Dallas County and pushing east.  Turning colder and windy behind the rain and cold front.

NTX FutureCast 12kmA2

11am- Most storms in East Texas.  Chilly temperatures and gusty north winds for DFW.

NTX FutureCast 12kmA3

7-DAY FORECAST

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