Reporting Jeff Ray
Filed underStorm Team Blog
A few storms continue in Van Zandt, Rains, and Hopkins Counties. These storms will carry on a few more hours into the early evening:
Strong southwest winds at about 12,000ft are going to set in place the “CAP”, a layer of warm air above the surface that inhibits thunderstorm development. This will greatly diminish the storms chances across north Texas over the next several days.
It won’t change the air mass however; expect warm and muggy conditions. High pressure building in over the deep south teamed with a surface low along the front range in Colorado will insure very windy conditions as well. The morning will start with some cloud cover. In the afternoon heating there is a small chance of some storms popping up on our eastern edge:
Highs will get into the upper 80′s with gusty south wind:
The cap will hold until a strong upper level low pulls out of the inter-mountain west and onto the central plains:
The bottom of the trough will reach into the panhandle of Texas. This is an area that will “lift” the cap and allow for dryline storms to make a run into north Texas Wednesday night:
Straight line winds and large hail would be possible with these storms.
Hot and humid weather will continue across north Texas. A cold front gets to the Red River on Saturday, this could provide the focus for storms next weekend: