By Jeff Ray

Welcome to the first day of Meteorological Summer and the official start of Hurricane Season.

It is rare that a cold front finds it way into north Texas in summer but one is coming through our area right now. This is going to present a small severe weather risk this evening for areas south of the metro area. Below is the area of  “Convective Interest” as calculated by the National Weather Service in Fort Worth over the next few hours. The areas in white is where we’ll be watching for Severe Thunderstorm development.

Init1 (1)

The risk of severe weather will continue a few hours past sundown:

NTX Rain Chances4

The cold front that come through will set up some very nice weather for the second day of summer. First thing you’ll notice is the cooler, drier weather in the morning:

NTX Tonight Lows

We had the warmest morning of the season Saturday morning. It followed a run of warm, muggy and cloudy mornings in the metro area. High dewpoints, an indication of the how much water vapor is in the air, made for some muggy air. This all changes over the next two mornings.

Temp Trend

Sunday looks like great summer weather. We’ll be mostly sunny with highs in the mid-80’s but much lower humidity and a brisk north wind.

NTX Next Day Highs

June 1st is the start of hurricane season. Last year we had already had two tropical system develop in May, something that hadn’t happened since 1908. For the last three years we’ve extremely active season; last year produced the largest Atlantic hurricane on record (Sandy). The forecast is for another active season:

Tropical Satrad

During the month of June the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico can produce hurricanes. In fact, this is where most hurricanes develop this time of year:

Tropical Satrad1

With the summer starting we look back on the Spring. It had below normal temperatures but also below normal rainfall. Spring is our wettest season but this year we actually got less rain than we get in a typical summer:

rainfall update

Only a trace of rain was reported today at DFW with the front passing through. The dry spring has kept our lake reservoirs  low as we head into the season of irrigation and pools. This has forced area water districts in put water restrictions in place for the dry months ahead.

Not much rain in the extended forecast. Perhaps next weekend another weak frontal boundary will approach north Texas and produce some storm chances for us: