Lots of dry hours and mostly sunny for our holiday, but a few showers will disturb the peace.  Here’s what we are watching on this July 4th:

KTVT Street Level

Upper level energy is pushing through North Texas.  The core of the energy will track to our west and eventually south through the day.  You can see the weaker track through Oklahoma City and into the northeast part of North Texas.  This will bring a 10-20% chance for a shower or storm mainly this morning and this afternoon with a lull in active during the late morning hours through noon.  This is not a severe weather situation, but a few showers or storms could dump locally heavy rainfall up to an inch if they move slow enough.

Skycast 3Parts_NEWNTX FutureCast AM


Temperatures will warm to near the normal high of 94 degrees today with mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds.  The 81 degree reading on our map for Paris at 3 PM is because of an isolated storm in the forecast there.  Otherwise, all of North Texas should expect highs to reach at least upper 80s and low 90s.

If you are one of the lucky ones to get rain today, all activity will die down after 6 PM.  Here’s our fireworks forecast:

July 4th Forecast


Extended Forecast:

On Friday, energy will still be tracking through North Texas around the bottom of the upper low in the Midwest.  You can see the pattern on the graphic below.  While we expect mostly sunny skies and a dry day, don’t be surprised to get an isolated shower or storm.  The coverage is very isolated at only 10 percent for the northeastern quadrant of North Texas including the Metroplex.

Friday Upper Level Pattern

Starting tomorrow, the ridge that has been creating the record heat in the Southwest will start to rebuild into Texas.  By Saturday and into next week, the average position of the ridge is shown on the graphic below.  This will “nose” into the energy coming in from the Gulf of Mexico and effectively keep it at bay just to our east and southeast.  We’ve taken the rain chances out of the forecast for Saturday altogether and for Sunday dropped it back to 10 percent because it should be well east of the Metroplex.  For Monday and Tuesday, the 20 percent chances include the Metroplex and the eastern half of North Texas.

Extended Upper Level Pattern


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