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Rain Chances Linger

by CBS11 Meteorologist Jeff Jamison
NTX Rain Chances1
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Jamison
Jeff is a meteorologist for CBS 11 News. You can watch his fore...
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Tuesday and Wednesday featured scattered strong storms across the Metroplex.  Heavy downpours and gusty winds were the hallmarks of these storms, but the water from the storms was a good news story overall.  Check out the rainfall totals from Wednesday alone.  Some areas of Dallas County picked up over 2 inches of rain!

Metro Rainfall Total Plot

 

 

At DFW Airport, the rainfall for the month of August so far is running above average, unusual for typically the driest month of the year and because we’re in the midst of a drought.  We’re still looking at a multi-inch deficit for the year.

rainfall update

 

 

The upper level winds remain northwesterly, which will draw in disturbances from the Rockies over the next couple of days.  This will keep at least a slight chance of rain in the forecast today and tomorrow.

DALLAS DAILY PLANNER

 

 

Just a 20% chance of a pop up storm in North Texas today.  If a storm happens to form over your neighborhood, it will produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds.  But not expecting a repeat of Tuesday or Wednesday.

NTX Rain Chances

 

 

A strong disturbance should dive in from the north late tonight into early Friday.  It looks like the bulk of the storms that form will be northwest and west of the Metroplex.  So a better chance for storms Friday will be west of I-35/I-35W.

NTX Rain Chances1

 

 

In the tropics, there is an area of low pressure that is likely to become a tropical depression in the next 24 hours in the western Caribbean.  Heavy rain affecting the Yucatan and all of the different computer models take that storm into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.  Then there’s a split as to what will happen to the tropical low.  Some models take the low into the northeast Mexican coast and other models draw it up toward the Louisiana/Mississippi coast by early next week.  A Texas landfall is unlikely at this time, but it bears watching.  At this time, it doesn’t look like this system will bring North Texas rain.

Tropical Spaghetti Plots

 

 

After our smaller rain chances for the rest of the work week, the weekend should be completely rain-free.  Temperatures will be creeping back up through the middle of next week.

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