I’m watching strong storms develop just east of Wichita Falls in northern Clay and Montague counties. They are likely producing hail and very strong winds. As they roll over the Red River valley and into Oklahoma they’ll help devleop more storms to their south. I am also watching storms developing on the edge of the Edwards Plateau to the WSW of the metro area in Eastland County. The steering winds would push these storms right into the metro area in the early evening.
The Storm Prediction Center quickly issued a MD (Mesoscale Discussion 1975) for our area based on the storms to our northwest.
There is a slight risk of severe weather across north Texas for the rest of the day into the evening:
On of the short range forecast models, the LAMP shifts the highest probability of thunderstorms (80%) over the metro area and south between 6p and 8pm:
This activity will pass off to our east after midnight. Tomorrow will be cooler (highs around 70°) and mostly cloudy with a north wind. More on the storm system that arrives just before Halloween later this evening.