Reporting Jeff Ray
Filed underStorm Team Blog
Some clouds and breezy conditions Sunday afternoon did little to dampen the fact we had great weather this weekend. We have another big rain event in the forecast; chances crank up Monday afternoon and will continue all the way to Wednesday mid-day.
Light rain dotted the landscape up to Monday morning, only a trace is expected and have marginal effects on the morning commute.
Tropical Storm Sonia hit the western Mexican coast 800 miles to our southwest. The winds barely got to 40mph but high clouds from the Pacific system were carried on the southern jet into Texas through the day:
A steady and strong southeast wind (for nighttime at least: 10-15mph) means temperatures Monday morning are in the mid-50′s, 10° warmer than Sunday morning.
By Monday afternoon the atmosphere should be saturated enough to allow the rain to starting hitting the ground. Rain chances start-up in the afternoon (a few sprinkles are possible up to then) but pick up in the evening.
This tropical moisture is getting helped along by strong southeast winds at the surface pulling up the Gulf moisture. A powerful upper level storm system is swinging out of the southern California; this system will start producing rain in north Texas as it heads into the Midwest:
This low will drag cold front into all this moisture and upper level energy, our rain chances jump up to around 70% by late Tuesday headed into Wednesday morning. Some severe weather could erupt as the front creates a line of storms ahead of it. We are not expecting widespread severe weather but we’ll have to watch for damaging winds and large hail along with heavy rain. Right now it’s looking like a wet commute on Wednesday morning but clearing and breezy conditions (and dropping temperatures) for Wednesday afternoon:
Depending on the speed the front moves though we should have rainfall amounts from 1″ – 3″ across the area; another good soaking here in our secondary wet season (our wettest weather is in Spring typically):
With all the upper level energy coming over us on Wednesday the winds will get rather gusty. Skies will clear and we’ll have lows fall to around 40° by Thursday morning. Right now we are forecasting a great weekend for next with highs in around 70 and lots of sunshine: