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Just Plain Ol’ Rain on Friday

by CBS11 Meteorologist Jeff Jamison
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(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Jamison
Jeff is a meteorologist for CBS 11 News. You can watch his fore...
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After eight days in row with low temperatures below freezing, we finally get a break overnight tonight.   Clouds will be on the increase, but we won’t see temps fall much below 35°.  Look for a rain to start up in our western counties by morning.

NTX FutureCast11

Rain will increase in coverage throughout the day on Friday, as an upper level disturbance rolls overhead.

NTX FutureCast

This will just be rain, no freezing stuff!  We may see a thunderstorm or two, but no severe weather is expected for Friday.  Temperatures will be on the cool side again, with highs struggling to get to 50°.

NTX FutureCast1

Rain should end to the east by Friday evening.  Rainfall amounts should generally be 1/2″ or less from the Metroplex to the west.  Our eastern areas will see a little more rain.

NTX Futurecast Precip Accum

We will see a mostly cloudy and chilly Saturday after the rain ends…it will be windy as well on Saturday.  But the sun breaks out Sunday and should last for many days next week.  Look at the moderating temps!

Extended PM

Now we are still expecting the jet stream to buckle and move south by the end of next week, allowing more Arctic air to spill southward.  We should turn much colder again by Thursday or Friday next week.

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We are pretty sure it’s going to get cold again by next weekend, with highs in the 30s.  The harder question to answer this far out is: will we get wintry precipitation?

One of our computer models, the European, is more progressive with the precipitation and leaves us generally drier than last time.  If this model pans out, we will see a little rain and possibly a few snow flurries, but it would NOT be “Icemaggedon 2″

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Another computer model, the GFS, paints an uglier picture for next weekend.  It has more moisture and hangs the upper level energy back west to increase our precipitation chances and coverage.  This would lead to a better chance for ice or snow.

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Obviously, it is WAY TOO EARLY to know exactly how next weekend will play out.  Model #1 (European) has done a better job overall with the winter forecasts recently, so I’m inclined to believe this will not be a repeat of last week’s ice bath.  But we will all be watching, won’t we?!?  Enjoy next week’s warmth!