By Jeff Ray

For the rest of the evening we’ll be monitoring the storms to the west of us that developed along the dryline.  A few of these supercells could hold together and reach into our northwest corner but it is likely they would weaken to below-threshold status.

NTX Rain Chances1

NTX Rain Chances1a

There is a Pacific cold front out to the west of the dryline headed our way. As it approaches it will push the dryline into the metro area. This is likely enough given the warm, moist air in place to produce a severe weather risk for us in the early morning hours:

Sun4a Sun5am

The main risk from these storms will be large hail and frequent lightning. These storms could be waking you up in the morning when they move into the metroplex and areas north:


This round of storm activity should diminish in the later morning. The atmosphere will start warm with the daytime heating just as the cold front moves through the metro area and overtakes the dryline.


What this means is that the severe weather threat will be east of the Dallas by afternoon. That threat includes tornadoes and large hail:

Severe Threat SevereThreat2

With the strong winds and dry air in the western counties there is a high fire risk over the next couple of days. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 80’s for the western half including the metro area. This would be the warmest day of the year so far for DFW:

NTX Fire Threat1 NTX Tom Highs Manual

After the rain chance tonight and early tomorrow we have a run of dry weather returning to north Texas. Cooler weather will here in the work week, highs in the 70’s and maybe a few mornings with lows in the 40’s. We’ll warm again by next weekend:

Extended PM