By Scott Padgett

Happy Monday NTX. There isn’t a threat of severe weather today and in fact our weather pattern looks to be dry and sunny through the remainder of the week. The severe weather threat shifted east today with the area of concern being from near Central Tennessee through NW Alabama and much of Mississippi.  Severe Risk Day 1


Around 9am we had temps that were sitting in the low to mid 60s across the metroplex under mostly sunny skies. Drier air moved in behind a pacific front this AM and now is settling into NTX. So today temps will warm nicely into the 80s with breezy conditions.

Metro Temp Plot AM_Forecast 3 Panel_NOW_DAWN

With the dry air in place today and the winds turning breezy our fire risk increases later this morning and through the afternoon.NTX Todays Highs Fire The Jetstream will shift during the next few days and the low responsible for the support of severe weather the past few days will shift east and open up into a trough. Wednesday the Jetstream digs in and this trough is taking hold allowing colder air at the surface to dive into the southern plains. As the trough shifts east a bit by the end of the week, NTX will remain in a NNW flow aloft which ushers in dry air.

Jetstream Jetstream2 Jetstream3

While this pattern brings NTX plenty of sunshine and cooler temps, it doesn’t bring us much needed rain. Since the beginning of the year, we’ve only accumulated a little less than four inches of rain. We need a whole lot more to help out with the drought but that isn’t coming this week

. Rain So Far This Year

Don’t be surprised to pull out a long sleeve sweatshirt on Wednesday and Thursday AM with temperatures into the mid and low 40s for morning lows. If you are a warm weather lover like myself, don’t worry because temperatures warm back into the upper 80s by the end of the weekend.

Extended AM