By Jeff Ray

We had a small cluster of storms hold together last night as they moved out of Erath Co. and into southern Tarrant Co. Meanwhile a large line of severe weather from far to the west moved toward north Texas through the night. This led to a few morning showers around the metroplex.  This afternoon we expect another round of pop-up storms to develop in the daytime heating. Again the favored area will be our western third.

We’ve been talking about this all week: an upper-level low out to the west is very slowly moving our way. Since Monday it’s been slow moving from California coast to the Four Corners. Right now the track for this system takes it just north and then over north Texas into Louisana. This trek will take the entire week. Heavy rain is in the path; the area in red in the “Total Rainfall” graphic represent 4″ rainfall totals over the five-day period.

500mb Energy EURO2 500mb Energy EURO2a 500mb Energy EURO2b


The better storm chances are west of the metroplex on Sunday but slowly slide east Monday and Monday night. The best chance for heavy rain is on Tuesday:

NTX Rain Chances11AAaa NTX Rain Chances11A NTX Rain Chances11AA NTX Rain Chances11AAb

With the Upper-Level Low slowly moving past us we keep a decent chance of rain in the forecast all the way into NEXT weekend and the end of May:

Extended PM

We’ll update the forecast later today at 5:30p.  If storms pop-up in your area tomorrow afternoon follow me on Twitter so I can keep you posted on the track and threat: