Low Water, High Temperature

The official high today at DFW was 93°- that is a warm but not brutal. Fourteen of the last 15 days in fact logged daytime highs at or BELOW normal for this time of year.

For the last day of the 4th of July holiday weekend: rain chances tomorrow are around 5% (in other words extremely low but not zero), highs will likely be a few degrees warmer:

It’s July 5th and fifty-eight days until Labor Day but we’ve yet to hit at least 100° at DFW for a daytime high. Last time that happened was seven years ago in 2007. That year we had over 15″ of summer rain by the 5th of July (more than we’ve had all of 2014 so far):

This has had an effect on area lakes. Take a look at the bigger recreational lakes around the Metroplex. They were all down below pool last year on this date:

But they are even lower this year on July 5th. Lake Levon is almost 12ft below full pool.

The reason it’s gotten worse it the fact we are off to the NINTH driest start to a year on record. There is no significant chance of rain at DFW at least through Saturday. If that happens, we’ll be off to the SEVENTH driest start to a year on record (they go back to 1899). This follows the trend of the last four years of below-normal rainfall:

As I mentioned the week ahead looks very dry. It also looks like the hottest week we’ve had so far this year. The Bermuda High is going to move west over the deep South and join up with a ridge over the western half of the United States. That means hot weather for all and not much rain for most of Texas:

Here is the extended. We’ll creep close to the 100° mark by the end of the week:

We just had Hurricane Arthur but in its wake all is quiet in the Atlantic Basin: