Flash Flood Threat Starts Thursday Morning

by CBS11 Meteorologist Jeff Jamison
GOTHAM KTVT Street w OK
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Jamison
Jeff is a meteorologist for CBS 11 News. You can watch his fore...
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There are a few, widely scattered storms in the forecast for the rest of the afternoon and evening across North Texas, but the widespread rain and flooding threat will hold off until Thursday morning.  A potent disturbance in the upper levels is currently over Colorado and should be arriving here by early Thursday.

KTVT Standard GOTHAM

 

Most of our computer guidance is showing heavy rain for the morning commute.  The rain could start up as early as 5am or as late as 8am.  Here’s a look at our in-house hi-res RPM model’s take.

THURSDAY 7AM

NTX FutureCast

 

THURSDAY NOON

NTX FutureCast1

 

THURSDAY 6PM

NTX FutureCast2

 

FRIDAY 6AM

NTX FutureCast3

 

We will see at least two distinct waves of rain into North Texas, one in the morning and then another during Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.  The heavy rain should begin to shift east of the Metroplex by Friday midday.

RAIN CHANCE LINE GRAPH larry

 

There is a FLASH FLOOD WATCH in effect for the northern half of North Texas starting at 7am on Thursday.  In the watch area, some locations could see 2 to 4″ of rain.

GOTHAM KTVT Street w OK

 

Rainfall amounts will be over one inch over just about all of North Texas for Thursday into Friday…with higher amounts the farther north and east you live.

NTX Futurecast Precip Accum

 

There is also a severe weather risk for Thursday.  A SLIGHT RISK for 60+ mph winds and up to quarter size hail is posted for the western half of North Texas.  The biggest threat is flash flooding, however.

Severe Risk Day 3

 

Temps will be way below normal both Thursday and Friday because of the rain.  After Friday, the rain chances dry up for the weekend and temps go back up into the 90s.  There will another chance of rain by the middle of next week.

Extended PM