By Jeff Ray

We had a round of strong storms yesterday. We expect a good rain today.

Last night as the evening went on an upper-air disturbance started to really distinguish itself over the Tx/Ok Panhandle. As it continued to make its way toward north Texas it started to become obvious that some serious tweaking of the forecast was needed.


We’ll watch this upper-level system move right overhead in the morning and then move east. The heaviest rain will be in the first half of the day with the threat of localized flooding (we’ll likely have very slow moving storms):

FutureCast GFS PRECIP FutureCast GFS PRECIP2

Here is how we expect the rain chances to play through the day:

Sun AM NTX Rain Chances

The storms that develop in the afternoon could produce damaging winds to the southeast of the Metroplex. The threat will be centered on Henderson, Anderson and Freestone Counties.

Today will be a much cooler day thanks to the morning rain. We are right back to hot conditions starting Monday. We have storm chances both Monday and Tuesday before we return to hot and dry weather:

Extended PM3