Hot and Getting Dry

Rain Chance Tomorrow
(credit: KTVT/KTXA) Jeff Ray
Jeff joined CBS 11 and TXA 21 in December 2010. He came to North T...
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We had very meager storm coverage this afternoon and early evening. The chances are even smaller tomorrow for the whole of north Texas as the duo of systems (an upper trough swinging through the central plains and a tropical disturbance in the Gulf) moves east:

KTVT Standard GOTHAM

They take with it any decent chance of rain. A slight chance tomorrow is all but confined to areas southeast of the metro area:

Rain Chance Tomorrow

Meanwhile back at the dry ranch, another hot summer day to kick-off the Labor Day weekend:

WWN DailyHigh

We shouldn’t be surprised at these numbers; the “normal” high for this date is 94° which is exactly what the high today was at DFW. We’ll start getting even hotter as the rain chances move to the east in mass before ebbing away:

Long Range_Precip Long Range_Precip2

In the long-range forecast it is looking more and more like a hot and dry September will be the storyline for the start. The jet stream is flat-lining over the northern plains and allowing a massive doom of high pressure to build over the southern half of the United States:

500mb Energy EURO2

Jet Stream Today

 

500mb Energy EURO3

Jet Stream by Friday

This translates to hot weather for the south/southwest as well as West Coast:

Summer Outlook2

The extended shows a 10% chance of rain tomorrow and then nothing all the way until next Saturday. During the dry stretch expect highs above-normal, in the upper-90’s. At least it’s not 100° plus weather:

Extended PM

We are going to miss the rain. We had a nice soaking in some spots yesterday, DFW Airport logged .40″ of rain in fact. August has been quite the anomaly. After seven months in a row of months showing below-normal rainfall we finally landed on a wet month. Like the wettest one so far this year (in what is normally the driest) and the most rain in a month since Spring in 2012:

A Wet AugustA Wet August1A Wet August3A Wet August4