By Jeff Ray

We are going to have more cloud cover around then the last couple of days but this isn’t going to keep the daytime highs any lower. After a mild start we expect highs this afternoon to top out in the upper 70’s. It’ll be another very windy day:

NTX Tomorrows Highs

It’ll be a repeat performance on Monday: strong south winds mean a very mild morning and a warm afternoon. Despite the clouds we’ll be even a little warmer on Monday. It’ll also be more humid as well:

NTX Next Day Highs


The dry line is moving towards us on Tuesday. This could fire up isolated but powerful storms in our western counties, storms that could produce large hail. The chance is low but since they could be very strong we’ll have to watch the area closely through the afternoon and early evening.

TX Rain Chances1

A front arrives late Tuesday and into Wednesday morning. It’ll push the dryline into the metro area before it arrives as a strong upper level system moves over the southern plains. Below you can see that upper level system and where we think it’ll be on Wednesday.

500mb Energy1

The forecast models are coming to different conclusions on the the timing of the storms. That said, it is a classic springtime set-up for thunderstorms. We’ll put the storm coverage around 50% right now but these should be strong storms, certainly capable of producing severe weather.  The worst of it should be in Oklahoma and Kansas.

On the other side of the cold front we’ll have a nice cool down for a brief window. The storm chances on Tuesday and Wednesday pretty much represent the rain for the week ahead. It’ll warm right back up by next weekend.