The roller coaster season continues. Last week marked another 2-3 week for my JB Locks, bringing my overall record on the season to 23-22. The Chargers did not show up in Miami. The 49ers did not show up in front of their home fans. The Jets nearly covered in the end, but per usual, they lost by double digits. I am just over .500, and if I fall below .500, I would be doing a disservice to those who do read my locks against the spread every week. So this is a do or die week. Anything under a .500 record is unacceptable, so this week is showtime. Lock it in. Here’s my NFL Week 10 JB Locks against the spread.
1. Steelers (6-3) @ Jets (1-8) (+4.5)
This almost seems like they are handing it to you on a silver platter. It seems too good to be true to have a pick this easy. It has the feel of the inevitable happening, but going to go with the obvious here. The Steelers are rolling right now. Ben Roethlisberger has 12 touchdown passes in the last two weeks. Pittsburgh has turned their season around and their offense is scoring at will. You can’t say the same for the 1-8 Jets, who have been nothing but a circus sideshow. They have planes flying over practice saying “Fire John Idzik.” They are starting Michael Vick, but Geno Smith could be back under center at some point. They are coming off a 24-10 loss to the Chiefs where Eric Decker and Percy Harvin shined, but nobody else showed up. If the Steelers don’t win this game by a touchdown or more, I may just give up on my picks.
2. Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4) (-9.5)
The Titans are just a terrible football team. They have no direction on who their quarterback of the future is going to be. They are giving Zach Mettenberger a shot, but who knows how long that lasts. This team just does not have the talent to compete at this point. The Ravens need this game badly after dropping two straight. The AFC North is all bunched up and at 5-4, the Ravens are actually in last place. If they can’t beat the lowly Titans, they aren’t going to be a playoff team. Expect Joe Flacco to find Torrey Smith and Steve Smith deep down the field, leading Baltimore to a blowout win at home.
3. Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (-9.5)
It’s been a strange season for the Giants. They looked awful at the start going 0-2. They turned it around to 3-2. Now, they have lost three straight and are another loss away from potentially ending their playoff hopes. The defense has been brutal. Eli Manning has struggled behind an unstable offensive line. Their three-game losing streak has come with Rashad Jennings out. They have had a poor rushing attack without him. With that being said, Tom Coughlin’s team is going to play hard in a game they badly need. Without Jennings, they probably won’t win, but that 9.5 is too much. The Seahawks have done nothing recently to make us think they will beat the Giants by double digits. They barely squeezed by the winless Raiders at home last week. If they only beat them by six, how are they going to beat Big Blue by 10 or more? Not going to happen. The Seahawks should win at CenturyLink Field, but this game will be within single digits.
4. Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8) (+11)
The Broncos played their worst game last week against the Patriots. They have nearly dominated every other game this season, except for the loss to the Seahawks. Peyton Manning and this offense will have a field day in Oakland this weekend. The Raiders have competed lately, but to no avail. They won’t compete against an angry Broncos team that should blow off some steam against a Raiders team that is one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL. Lock in the Broncos to win by two-plus touchdowns Sunday.
5. Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3) (-7.5)
It’s safe to say the Bears have been one of the biggest under achieving football teams in the NFL. With all the talent they have on the offensive side of the football, they somehow are just 3-5. There’s nothing pointing to them being able to go into Lambeau Field and beat the 5-3 Packers. They were demolished 38-17 in their own building when they faced Aaron Rodgers in Week 3. How are they going to win on the road or lose by only single digits? It just doesn’t seem feasible. Marc Trestman’s squad is spiraling downhill and the losing continues in Green Bay Sunday night.